Category Archives: Market Analysis

Searching for “breakout nations” in the emerging markets

Book Review: Breakout Nations, by Ruchir Sharma (2012). During the 2000s, almost all emerging markets experienced strong economic growth. However, the global forces that enabled such broad growth are running out of steam, and only some developing countries will continue … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Asia-Pacific, Book Reviews, Business Strategy, Europe, Latin America, Market Analysis, South Asia | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Africa’s new oil and gas finds: the good, bad, and the ugly

They say money can’t buy happiness. But what about a billion barrels of oil? Recently, a series of spectacular oil and gas finds have been announced in several East African countries, including Ethiopia, Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, and Mozambique. In just one … Continue reading

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Brazil’s elusive “future” – is it finally here?

It seems just about every business article written about Brazil in the last five or so years has painted a highly optimistic portrait of the country. Of course, there has been some recognition of Brazil’s high taxes, overbearing red tape, … Continue reading

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East Africa: the next gold rush?

An article in this week’s Economist brings to attention the surge of oil and gas finds that are now happening in East Africa, almost seemingly on a daily basis. These discoveries have the potential to attract billions in foreign investment … Continue reading

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Mexico: ready to take on China?

Sometimes it is easy to forget that one of the biggest and most affluent emerging markets lies next door to the United States. Yes, I’m talking about Mexico.  While Mexico has suffered rising violence and stagnant economic growth in recent years, changing … Continue reading

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Peru and Turkey: consolidation or disruption?

In the past 10 days, Peru and Turkey held national elections that have huge potential to impact the steadiness of each country’s progress toward greater democracy and economic prosperity.  In Peru, a divided population narrowly opted for Ollanta Humala, a left-wing ex-officer who had backed … Continue reading

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Corruption: which countries are changing?

Emerging markets have done exceedingly well in terms of economic growth over the last 10 years. As I mentioned in my last post, it stands to reason that some of these high-growing countries would have made strong progress to greater transparency. Transparency … Continue reading

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Psst… care for a zero-rupee note?

Concern over corruption has surged in India in recent months. Although corruption is nothing new to most Indians, a series of recent high-profile scandals have been particularly galling. These include a multi-billion dollar alleged telecoms scam, alleged financial malpractices in connection with the 2010 … Continue reading

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Obama’s surprise stop: El Salvador

President Obama’s Latin American tour is taking him to Brazil, Chile, and El Salvador. The first two destinations do not surprise. Brazil is Latin America’s largest economy (and the seventh-largest globally). Chile is Latin America’s most developed country, setting the regional bar for per … Continue reading

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South Africa: where will the jobs come from?

South Africa has among the highest unemployment rates in the world. The official unemployment rate is 24%. But another statistic is even more depressing: approximately 42% of young people between the ages of 18 and 29 do not have a job. So … Continue reading

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